With Joe Biden announcing that he will seek reelection in 2024, Donald Trump has also indicated running for the White House again next election.
This clears many persistent doubts that were circulating in Democratic circles about the possible presidential nominees, with Kamala Harris’s hopes now perishing until 2028 at least.
Trump’s Thanksgiving announcement paves yet another way for a Trump vs. Biden contest in 2024.
With multiple Republicans gearing up for presidency in 2024, including Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, Texas Governor Greg Abbott, and the former Vice President Mike Pence, Trump is expected to go through the primaries, considering the widespread support he enjoys from Republican ranks.
Biden’s 2024 Announcement Can Smash Republicans Plans
Joe Biden’s age has become a fault line in American politics, with naysayers often attacking him on his age and his ability to lead the country at such a high age.
But, combined with his declining popularity, his aging is likely to play a significant role in his reelection. According to the latest Quinnipiac poll, Biden’s approval rating has dipped to 36 percent, signifying a deep distrust among voters even after the passage of the infrastructure bill.
Democrats often stated that stalling the infrastructure legislation from Congress was the primary reason for their dwindling popularity, but the stats are suggesting otherwise.
Nonetheless, with ten months into the presidency, forecasting the presidential results based on the current ratings will not be any justice.
Trump’s voter fraud rhetoric did significant damage to his future presidential bids, but his assertiveness in collecting donations even after being banned from most social media outlets suggests that he can soon start narrative-building campaigns to lure voters into his campaign once again.
But Biden’s decision for running for reelection may be a crucial blow for Republicans who already assumed a win for 2024 with a new presidential nominee.
Kamala Harris, for instance, has an approval rating well below Biden, and with little time for campaigning for presidential elections, she had much distance to travel before reaching the White House, which makes Republicans worry about not seeing a new candidate in the next election.
Trump is Focusing on the Swing States Three Years Ahead of 2024 Elections
Despite the fact that Biden outclassed Trump by almost seven million votes nationwide to win the most presidential votes in the US electoral history, Trump would have tied the electoral college had he won only 43,000 more votes in three swing states.
And the Trump campaign realizes this problem very well. Currently, the former president is launching an all-out assault in five swing states that contributed 73 electoral votes to Biden, all by less than a three percent margin.
These states include Arizona, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia. The latest polls suggest that Trump can win all of them in 2024.
Trump’s shadow campaign recently conducted Trump vs. Biden polls in all of these states, and the results suggest the same. He led Biden by eight percentage points in Arizona, three points in Georgia, twelve points in Michigan, ten points in Wisconsin, and six points in Pennsylvania.
So, all in all, he would need to continue and build on a more passionate campaign in some swing states in order to put cracks in Democrats’ presidential hopes.
And his efforts to win the White House again are likely to gear up in December when he is expected to hold the biggest fundraiser with top Republican donors buckling up to donate to him once again.
Republicans have many big names coming into the presidential race of 2024. Of them, Ron DeSantis is the top-notch contender, which even Trump has acknowledged.
With his “Turnkey operation” going in full flow, Trump is likely to announce his reelection bid after the midterm elections if Republicans somehow manage to win at least one chamber of Congress.
While Republicans are hoping to get both of them, they are likely to make a net gain in the House, especially on the seats that become the victim of Democratic infighting recently on the social spending and infrastructure bill saga.
Eli is a Political Data Scientist with over thirty years of experience in Data Engineering, Analytics, and Digital Marketing. Eli uses his expertise to give the latest information and distinctive analysis on US Political News, US Foreign Affairs, Human Rights, and Racial Justice equipping readers with the inequivalent knowledge.